Weekly Market Activity Report

Weekly Market Activity Report .. Market Pulse

For the week ending February 12, there were 710 signed purchase agreements, a meager drop of 0.1 percent from the same week last year. Although we fully expect to be down in year-over-year comparisons for the next three months due to last year's tax credit incentive, this is still interesting because it marks the first time we've had more than 700 Pending Sales since May 2010. Think about that. More sales activity in mid-February 2011 than mid-June 2010.

Similar to the week prior, there were 1,324 New Listings for the week, representing a decline of 24.9 percent from a year ago. Active Listings increased slightly from the week before to 21,553, just a 3.2 percent decline from last year.
As we work our way through these next three months of apples-to-oranges comparisons to last year, we will be looking back at 2009 and 2008 for further market understanding. This week's 710 Pending Sales compare well to the 714 for the same week in 2009 and 635 in 2008.

How much of this week's reported pendings can be attributed to unseasonably warm weather? Looking at 15-plus inches of fresh snowfall today, we're certain to find out in a couple of weeks.

Bad News Can Be Good News!

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

What it means is that it is a great time to buy!

http://bit.ly/i4qZJY

Weekly Market Activity Report

For the week ending August 7, we didn't stray from the post-tax credit trends in the Twin Cities housing market. Pending sales remained entrenched in a holding pattern around 600 per week, continually underperforming last year's activity. The 659 purchase agreements signed were 36.5 percent below 2009 figures.

Weak sales means rising inventory. There are 27,664 homes available for sale, up 7.4 percent from a year ago. In August, there will be 8.64 homes available per buyer, up dramatically from the mark of 5.28 seen a year ago.

For now, Days on Market continues to drop slightly from last year, down 6.8 percent from a year ago to 127, but Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale for July 2010 declined from a year ago for the first time in several years, an indication that home prices will remain soft in the months ahead.

Market Update

Weekly Market Activity Report

Remember how we've been saying that the Twin Cities housing market has been getting successively slower in home sales every week since the tax credit ended? Umm, yeah, well that's still happening.


Pending sales for the week ending June 5 were another 57.0 percent behind the pace seen a year ago, dropping from 1,226 in 2009 to 527 today. This is the fifth consecutive week-to-week drop in signed contracts. While activity is down across the board, lender-mediated foreclosures and short sales are slowly increasing their market share of sales because traditional home sales have declined sharply. During this week last year, 37.8 percent of pending sales were lender-mediated; this year the share is 43.3 percent.

Thankfully, new supply is not growing in lock-step. The 1,521 new homes placed on the market for the most recent reporting week were 29.6 percent less than last year at this time. This has helped keep the Months Supply of Inventory metric at 6.9 months, down 9.3 percent from May 2009.

Discounted Price vs Overpriced

As possible Buyer or Seller conversations … and what are your thoughts ?

Of course, not everybody agrees that homes selling well below list price can be considered discounted.

Maybe they were just overpriced, says Barry Nystedt, the president of the National Association of Exclusive Buyer Agents. "Home buying is not an exact science," Nystedt points out. "Discount," he says, "implies savings from actual value, as opposed to a price reduction from an unrealistic asking price."

Analysts at Redfin, an online discount brokerage, think so. Crunching data from sales of 9,053 single-family houses in Los Angeles County; Fairfax County, Va.; and King County, Wash., between April 15 and June 15, Redfin found most homes fetched within 3% of asking prices.

Market Update

The expiration of the tax credit clearly motivated buyers to take action by April 30. Last week, there was a significant 31.2 percent jump in Pending Sales versus last year, bringing the total number of contracts written to 1,469. But for the first time this year the number of New Listings was down. A total of 1,803 of them entered the market, 11.5 percent lower than a year ago.

Some encouraging figures include a Days on Market count of 127, down 15.3 percent compared to last year, and Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale of 93.6 percent, up 4.0 percent over last year.

We expect buyer activity to continue over the coming weeks, although not with the same level of urgency due to the expired tax credits and a slight seasonal lull before we get into the heart of summer.

Market Update

Well, the federal home buyer tax credit we've been talking about for the last 18 months has finally expired. All good (or bad, depending on your opinion) things must come to an end. Unfortunately, we won't have definitive evidence of how wild the final days of the credit were for another week as we wait for activity to be recorded in the MLS system.

In the meantime, we can still see that home sellers were far more active than home buyers for the week ending April 24, continuing a recent trend. There were 2,147 new listings during the week, an increase of 19.1 percent from a year ago. That's the seventh week of the last eight to show double-digit percentage increases in new listings.

Signed purchase agreements were also up but in a less extreme fashion. The 1,184 pending sales for the week were a 9.8 percent increase from a year ago.

As a result of the growth in new listings, we're projecting that the Supply-Demand Ratio for May 2010 will be 5.69 homes per buyer, a healthy balanced number but a smidge higher than the 5.23 mark of May 2009. Why point out such a subtle difference? Because that would be the first time we have seen a year-over-year increase since June 2008.